Welcome to this week’s Pandora Report! ❄️ This issue features a deep dive into U.S. biodefense vulnerabilities, the latest developments in Avian Influenza, emerging biosecurity risks from synthetic biology, and global public health and chemical weapons updates.
U.S. Biodefense on the Brink: Political Interference and Budget Cuts Put Americans at Risk
By Carmen Shaw, Co-Managing Editor of the Pandora Report
A series of alarming developments across the U.S. biodefense complex show that political interference and institutional downsizing are creating vulnerable gaps in emergency response and readiness that could imperil Americans during the next major biological emergency. On November 23, Dr. Ralph Abraham, Louisiana’s Surgeon General, who’s also a vocal supporter of HHS Secretary RFK Jr., and a known vaccine skeptic, was appointed Principal Deputy Director at the CDC. Abraham has publicly questioned the safety of COVID-19 vaccines, opposed routine immunization for hepatitis B at birth, and supported discredited theories linking Tylenol use in pregnancy to autism.
This trend of politicization is compounded by troubling shifts in agency guidance. Under Secretary RFK Jr.’s leadership, the CDC revised its longstanding position that vaccines do not cause autism, adding an asterisk to its guidance suggesting that evidence debunking the vaccine-autism link is “not evidence-based.” This shift contradicts decades of rigorous research demonstrating no causal link between vaccines and autism and was pushed through despite numerous objections from scientific organizations. The Autism Science Foundation and the American Medical Association condemned the change, calling it appalling and warning of its dangerous consequences.
The FDA is also experiencing internal turmoil. A 3,000-word memo circulated by vaccine division director, Dr. Vinay Prasad, claimed that COVID-19 vaccines had killed at least 10 children. The findings have not been published in a peer-reviewed medical journal, and experts reviewing the memo note that it misuses information from VAERS, an unverified reporting system in which anyone – including patients, caregivers, and clinicians – can submit reports of adverse events related to vaccines. VAERS itself warns that its reports may contain inaccurate, incomplete, or unverifiable information. Experts contend that the memo misrepresents the data and reflects an ideologically driven approach that undermines both public confidence and the FDA’s regulatory authority.
“This memo conveys a very troubling mixture of misrepresentation and lies,” said Dr. Peter Marks, former FDA vaccine chief who was ousted by HHS Secretary RFK Jr. earlier this year. “The climate within the agency is incredibly toxic right now.”
Structural cuts to U.S. science and public health agencies further threaten national preparedness for biological events. The second Trump administration’s budget reductions have began to eliminate essential biodefense programs, resulting in billions of dollars in lost funding, the elimination of tens of thousands of positions, and the dismantling of surveillance and R&D programs across key agencies such as the NIH, CDC, USAID, FDA, ASPR, NSF, and FEMA. Some of these agencies operate within HHS: the CDC leads domestic and global disease surveillance and emergency response, the NIH supports basic and applied biomedical research, the FDA regulates vaccines and medicines, the ASPR coordinates public health emergency responses, and separately, the NSF funds foundational biology research essential for understanding biological threats.
The HHS reorganization has resulted in staffing that is slated to decline from 82,000 to 62,000 full-time employees, with significant cuts at the CDC, NIH, and the FDA, alongside a 35% reduction in contracts. BARDA, a key agency for developing medical countermeasures for emerging infectious diseases, was merged with ARPA-H, and hundreds of leases for research and operational facilities were terminated. By May of this year, NSF cancelled over 1,500 active research grants and laid off 25-50% of its workforce. In response, sixteen states, led by New York, sued the Trump administration to block NSF funding cuts.
The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), launched by Elon Musk, reported that the administration terminated 563 leases worth $262 million for facilities used by federal agencies, including NIH and CDC. Experts warn that these cuts not only limit immediate operational capacity but could also create long-term gaps in institutional knowledge and disrupt the talent pipeline, hindering the overall effectiveness and efficiency of these agencies.
Federal funding cuts are also destabilizing state and local health efforts. Many rely on federal pass-through funding, and without these, face staff layoffs, clinic closures, and halted preparedness programs. In March, HHS announced plans to reclaim $11.4 billion in COVID-19 response funding, raising alarms among public health officials. Although states like California are attempting their own countermeasures via a currently debated $23 billion bond initiative to restore R&D cuts, the ability of state and local governments to fully offset these federal gaps is limited, undermining U.S. biological readiness writ large.
“Let’s be clear—when the next pandemic from an infectious agent breaks, if this budget passes, we will be largely unprepared, and needless deaths will happen,” Dr. Mary Pittman, former president and CEO of the Public Health Institute, said in a release from the American Public Health Association. “The CDC will be late detecting, tracking, and responding to it, and the states will not have the resources to do it at the state level. Time to action is everything in an outbreak of disease.”
Further Reading:
- “NIH shake-up to grant decision-making sparks concern over political meddling,” Jocelyn Kaiser, Science
- “The U.S. Is Funding Fewer Grants in Every Area of Science and Medicine,” Aatish Bhatia, Amy Fan, Jonah Smith and Irena Hwang, NY Times
- “New NSCEB Paper Envisions the Future of Science, Modernizing the U.S. Scientific Enterprise,” NSCEB
- “The US has released an ‘America First Global Health Strategy.’ Health experts warn it is risky,” Lauren Kent, Jennifer Hansler, CNN
- “The United States Maintains Its Global Fund Commitment,” Prashant Yadav and Elena Every, ThinkGlobalHealth
- “US CDC: a public health agency in critical condition,” Debra Houry, Daniel Jernigan, and Demetre Daskalakis, The Lancet
- “Federal biotech commission calls for retooling of scientific research infrastructure,” Allison DeAngelis, StatNews
- “F.D.A. Seeks More Oversight of Vaccine Trials and Approvals,” Christina Jewett, NYTimes
Washington State Reports First H5N5 Human Death
By Margeaux Malone, Pandora Report Associate Editor
Washington State health officials confirmed the first U.S. human death from H5N5 bird flu in late November, marking a significant development in the ongoing international avian influenza outbreak. However, unlike the H5N1 virus that has caused 70 human infections and one death in the United States since 2024, this fatality was caused by H5N5, a different strain of avian influenza that had previously never been known to infect humans. There is limited information about the patient in Washington at this time. They were identified as an older adult with underlying health conditions who kept backyard poultry with exposure to wild birds.
Health experts stress this isn’t cause for panic. There is as of yet no evidence that H5N5 poses greater pandemic risk than H5N1 or causes more severe disease. Monitoring of close contacts revealed no additional infections and no signs of person-to-person transmission. Although this was the first case of H5N5 infection in a human, experts state that exposure to H5 viruses and subsequent infections are still likely to be H5N1 as this strain is circulating much more prevalently in bird populations.
For people with backyard chickens, experts recommend keeping domestic birds separated from wild birds, wearing dedicated outdoor clothing and protective gear when cleaning coops, and thoroughly washing hands after handling poultry or eggs to minimize risk of exposure.
Too Hot to Handle: Research Identifies Temperature Resistance in Bird Flu Viruses
Recent research published in Science indicates that avian influenza may pose a unique danger compared to human flu viruses: bird flu viruses can replicate at temperatures higher than typical human fevers, potentially overcoming one of our key defense mechanisms.
Researchers at the universities of Cambridge and Glasgow showed that a gene called PB1 plays a key role in viral temperature sensitivity. Human flu viruses typically thrive in the upper respiratory tract where temperatures are around 33C rather than in the lungs and lower airways where the temperature is closer to 37C. Fevers, one of the human body’s self-defense mechanisms, raise our body temperature to 38-41C, and even just a 2C increase can turn lethal human flu infections into mild disease. However, avian influenza viruses thrive in hotter environments as they often infect the gut in natural bird hosts where temperatures can reach as high as 40-42C. The research showed that virus strains containing avian-like PB1 genes can withstand high temperatures and cause severe disease in mice with simulated fevers that would ordinarily be sufficient to curb replication of temperature-sensitive flu viruses. This suggests that human infection with temperature-resistant flu viruses will cause more severe disease despite our defense mechanisms. Even more worryingly, human and bird flu viruses can swap genes when co-infecting the same host, as happened during the deadly 1957 and 1968 pandemics. These findings could have significant implications for clinical decision-making on when and how to use medications to control fever in suspected avian influenza cases and could also help explain why some influenza outbreaks cause more severe disease.
Although the public health risk from avian influenza remains low, with no sustained human-to-human transmission observed, public health experts stress that getting a seasonal flu shot is more important than ever. While the vaccine may not protect against bird flu infection directly, it reduces the chance of simultaneous infections that could enable dangerous viral mixing and swapping of temperature-resistance genes between human and avian influenza viruses.
Further Reading:
- “Bird Flu Vaccine Trial Offers Hope for Protecting Hawaiian Monk Seals,” The Marine Mammal Center
- “Bird flu virus could risk pandemic worse than COVID if it mutates, France’s Institut Pasteur says,” Sybille de La Hamaide, Reuters
- “As bird flu spreads near London, a breakdown of CFIA’s response,” Brian Williams, The London Free Press
- “Wild birds are driving the current U.S. bird flu outbreak,” Lambodhar Damodaran and Anna S. Jaeger, University of Pennsylvania School of Veterinary Medicine
“Regulatory Gaps in Benchtop Nucleic Acid Synthesis Create Biosecurity Vulnerabilities”
Lena Kroepke, a current Biodefense Master’s student at George Mason University, warns that rapid advances in benchtop nucleic acid synthesis and AI-enabled biological design are outpacing existing oversight, leaving the U.S. with widening biosecurity vulnerabilities. Her new article outlines how decentralized benchtop printers, increasingly capable of producing longer DNA sequences, combined with AI tools that can engineer novel or de novo pathogens, bypass traditional sequence-based screening systems and undermine voluntary industry standards. Despite this rising risk, federal regulation remains fragmented: the Biden administration’s 2024 Framework for Nucleic Acid Synthesis Screening was left in limbo after being placed under review by President Donald Trump’s May 2025 “Improving Safety and Security of Biological Research” Executive Order, and Congress has failed to advance legislation mandating universal screening or device security. As a result, most safeguards are still voluntary, export controls are inconsistently enforced, and no binding national or international standards exist for device certification, customer screening, or tracking printed sequences. Kroepke argues that without urgent, mandatory, and transparent regulatory updates—paired with stronger BWC-level engagement—the proliferation of benchtop synthesis technology could significantly elevate global biosecurity threats. Read more here.
“Strategies to Improve Detection of Novel Pandemic Pathogens”
From RAND Corporation: “This research report provides insight into the tradeoffs inherent to the cost, design, and detection performance of three promising pathogen-agnostic biosurveillance strategies, referred to as Syndromic, Wearable, and Environmental. The Syndromic and Wearable strategies are initiated by a signal from symptomatic or physiological sensors, while the Environmental strategy runs continuously and is intensified responsively based on external intelligence from event-based surveillance. First, we parameterize this model to emulate the detection of wildtype SARS-CoV-2. Then, we explore how changes in pathogen characteristics and technology performance change key detection and cost measures. Heir modeling indicates that environmental sampling (e.g., wastewater, air, surfaces) detects outbreaks fastest, followed by wearable strategy. Syndromic surveillance underperforms in detection relative to the two other strategies, especially when outbreaks stem from new or unusual pathogens.” Read more here.
China Releases White Paper on Arms Control in New Era
In November 2025, China released a new white paper on arms control, disarmament, and nonproliferation, as well as its position on security governance in fields such as outer space, cyberspace, and artificial intelligence (AI). In the document, Beijing reaffirms that it remains committed to international frameworks banning weapons of mass destruction, explicitly including biological – and not only nuclear or conventional – threats. According to the white paper, China “resolutely opposes the proliferation of bioweapons, their means of delivery, and all related technologies,” and reaffirms it adherence to the Biological Weapons Convention (BWC). The government states it continues to strengthen domestic biosecurity institutions and export-control regimes over dual-use biological items, and advocates for a negotiated protocol to enhance the BWC’s verification mechanisms – recognizing the existing non-proliferation frameworks must evolve alongside developments in biotechnology. Read more here.
Further Reading:
- “Tracing engineered biothreats with AI forensics: Five steps to improve attribution,” Oliver M. Crook, Anemone Franz, Aaron Maiwald, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
- “Frontiers in medical countermeasures against CBRN agents,” Dan Kaszeta, ESD
- “Mapping the Informal Bioeconomy,” RAND
In Other News
Changing HIV/AIDS Landscape
On December 1, we want to commemorate World AIDS Day 2025! #WorldAIDSDay
- “Aid cuts have shaken HIV/Aids care to its core – and will mean millions more infections ahead,” Kat Lay, The Guardian
- “New prevention tools and investment in services essential in the fight against AIDS,” WHO
- “OVERCOMING DISRUPTION Transforming the AIDS response,” UNAIDS
- “Presidential HIV council warns proposed cuts could reverse decades of progress,” Beatrice Peterson, ABC News
- “Trump Administration Will No Longer Commemorate World AIDS Day,” Apoorva Mandavilli, NY Times
Global Infectious Disease
- “Ebola outbreak in Congo over, Congolese health officials and WHO say,” Reuters
- “Long COVID takes $1 trillion global economic toll each year, analysis suggests,” Laine Bergeson, CIDRAP
- “Strategic plan for coronavirus disease threat management: advancing integration, sustainability, and equity, 2025–2030,” WHO
Chemical Weapons: Global Developments and Investigations
- 2025 OPCW-The Hague Award recipients announced
- “Ukraine elected to OPCW Executive Council, Russia fails again,” UkrinForm
- “Syrian Civil Society Recommendations to the Syrian Government, the National Commission for Transitional Justice, and State Parties to the OPCW,” SNHR
- “Exclusive: The first proof of the use of chemical weapons in Sudan’s civil war,” France24
- “How did chlorine imported to Sudan for water purification end up being used as a poison gas?” France24
- “When Water Burns – BBC Eye investigates potential use of World War One chemical against anti-government demonstrators in Georgia,” BBC
NEW: Integrating Biosafety & Biosecurity into Funding Decisions
Form NTI: Funders play a key role in shaping how life science research is conducted. This webinar will introduce a new framework—developed collaboratively by a diverse group of internationally recognized experts—to help funders identify proposals that may require additional biosafety or biosecurity review and to support appropriate risk-mitigation efforts.”
This event will take place virtually on December 11 from 10:00 – 11:00 AM ET. Learn more and RSVP here.
NEW: Africa’s Children’s Hospitals at a Breaking Point – Virtual Event
From Brown University: A landmark, first-of-its-kind study published last month in PLOS Global Public Health delivers a stark reality check: children’s hospitals in Africa are stretched, strained, and often cannot meet patients’ needs. The Children’s Hospitals in Africa Mapping Project (CHAMP) study aimed to evaluate hospital facilities, infrastructure, equipment, supplies, services, staffing, and readiness to care for children amid public health emergencies through surveys, which 20 hospitals from 15 countries completed from 2018 to 2019. The study found that “most hospitals were ill-prepared to manage a major disaster or infectious disease outbreak.” The CHAMP study is a wake up call to health leaders and decision makers. Among the CHAMP study’s takeaways:
This event will take place virtually on December 12 at 12:00 PM ET. Learn more and RSVP here.
NEW: NIH and its Partners to Co-Host a Second Regional Listening Session on Efforts to Modernize and Strengthen Biosafety Oversight
From ABSA International: “The NIH, the Carolinas Biosafety Safety Association, and the Southeastern Biological Safety Association will be co-hosting a virtual listening session to obtain input from stakeholders on NIH’s recently announced initiative to modernize and strengthen biosafety oversight.”
This event will take place virtually on December 17 from 1:00 – 3:00 PM ET. Learn more and register here.
NEW: Nexus Series: AIxBio: Workshop 2 – Strategies for Responding to Exponential AI and Biotechnology Growth
From AI for SynBio: “Background: The ever-increasing acceleration of agentic artificial intelligence (AI) and biological design tools has transformed the technological landscape, enabling tremendous benefits and potential misuse that could massively impact national security and public health. Mitigating this risk will require collaboration across Government, Industry, and Academia with both technical and policy focus. Significant effort has already been made to raise awareness of this challenge, but additional discussion is necessary to maintain pace with the speed of evolving technology. The second workshop in this series will build upon insights from our first workshop and take place over two days.”
This event will take place in Washington DC on March 10-11, 2026. Learn more and RSVP here.
GHS 2026
From GHS: “We’re excited to officially announce that the 4th Global Health Security Conference (GHS2026) will be held in Kuala Lumpur on the 9 – 12 June, 2026!”
“Building on the incredible momentum of GHS2024 in Sydney, we look forward to bringing together the global health security community once again – this time in one of Southeast Asia’s most vibrant and dynamic cities.”
“Registration and Call for Abstracts are now live!”
Learn more, submit abstracts, and register here.
African Atomic Voices Network (AAVN)
From AAVN: “The African Atomic Voices Network (AAVN) is a collaborative, career-development community for young professionals, students, and researchers from Africa (aged 18–35) who are working in, or passionate about, nuclear issues and related global security challenges such as artificial intelligence, emerging technologies, and chemical & biological security. The Network empowers African young professionals to shape global conversations and ensures that Africa’s voice is amplified in nuclear and broader global security discourse.”
Learn more and join the network here.
CNS Young Women in Nonproliferation Initiative
From the initiative: “Established in 2018, the CNS Young Women in Nonproliferation Initiative aims to encourage undergraduate women to consider careers in WMD nonproliferation, arms control, and disarmament. As part of this initiative, we offer a mentorship program that enables undergraduate women to work directly with leading experts in their areas of professional interest.”
Learn more and join the network here.
Cyberbiosecurity Quarterly Call for Papers
“We are pleased to announce the launch of Cyberbiosecurity Quarterly, a new academic and trade journal dedicated to the intersection of cybersecurity and the bioeconomy. Published by Kansas State University’s New Prairie Press and sponsored by the Bioeconomy Information Sharing and Analysis Center (BIO-ISAC), this quarterly journal will serve as an important resource for professionals, researchers, and policymakers working to safeguard digital and physical biological infrastructures. Cyberbiosecurity is an emerging discipline that addresses the protection of biomanufacturing, biomedical research, synthetic biology, digital agriculture, and other life sciences sectors from digital threats. This journal will explore topics at the nexus of cybersecurity, digital biosecurity, and the bioeconomy, including but not limited to:
- Best practices for network configuration and management in biomedical environments (ingress/egress protection, segmentation, isolation, access control, traffic protection, etc.)
- Cybersecurity Vendor Management and Assessment
- Cyber and Digital Biosecurity Education for the Bioeconomy’s Workforce
- The Quality-Cybersecurity Tension in Practice and Techniques for Mitigation
- Threat Intelligence for Cyber-Physical Biological Systems
- Regulatory and Policy Perspectives on Cyberbiosecurity
- Incident Response and Risk Mitigation in Biomanufacturing
- AI and Machine Learning in Digital and Cyber Biosecurity”
Learn more and submit your papers here.
Call for Presenters: International Bio Recovery Summit
The American Bio Recovery Association (ABRA) has opened its Call for Presenters for the 2026 International Bio Recovery Summit, taking place March 16-18 in Aberdeen, Maryland. As the industry’s leading event, the summit brings together bio-recovery professionals to address emerging challenges, regulatory updates, new technologies, and evolving safety standards in the field. ABRA invites experts to submit proposals aligned with conference objectives – including discussions on industry guidelines, insurance claims, hazardous substances, and business practices.
Learn more and submit your presentation by December 31 here.
64th ISODARCO Course
From ISODARCO: “In recent years, the global security landscape has become increasingly volatile, shaped by a convergence of geopolitical tensions, technological advancements, and evolving nuclear doctrines. The post-Cold War order that once provided a measure of predictability in global security has eroded. Conflicts such as the wars in Ukraine and Gaza, rising tensions in the Indo-Pacific, and strategic competition between major powers have reshaped alliances and strategic postures.”
“At the same time, disruptive technologies including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, hypersonic missiles, and cyber threats – are adding new layers of complexity to both nuclear and conventional deterrence dynamics. These technologies are not only distorting the information landscape but also compressing decision-making timelines and complicating signaling mechanisms, increasing the risk of miscalculation.”
“Effectively managing nuclear escalation risks in this environment will require a combination of innovative diplomacy, technological safeguards, and renewed dialogue mechanisms to rebuild trust, reduce misperceptions, and stabilize strategic relations.”
“The ISODARCO 2026 Winter Course presents an invaluable opportunity for students and experts to discuss and examine these dynamics in depth and explore approaches to re-establishing strategic stability and reducing nuclear dangers in a volatile world.”
This course will take place January 11-18, 2026, in Andalo. Learn more and apply here.
The Pandora Report 